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Imagine a world without free knowledge

Today marks the day that sites like Google and Wikipedia will show what the internet might look like if Draconian laws are passed to stop infringement.  Such laws would require constant vigilance, patrolling for whatever the government defines as illegal and silencing it before the government takes down your site.  Under the auspice of copyright infringement, it could easy grow into policies similar to North Korea or China where unpopular ideas would simple vanish under the crushing weight of the law.

If you want to learn more, I suggest Wikipedia.  While it's main site is down in protest, This link is available to explain why.

 

Batteries still not included

One of the problems with getting all our electrical energy from renewables, is that they are not a constant supply of energy.  Geothermal is the rare exception, it produces heat energy constantly.  And even with a steady supply, electrical demand isn't constant, spiking in the daylight, especially in the summer with air-conditioning and going to almost non-existent at the late night hours.

This isn't a problem currently, because as long as there is an electric grid, you can sell back the excess power (and thus reduce the amount of nonrenewable energy) and draw on nonrenewables when it becomes necessary.  This usually works great with solar, since demand is usually the highest when the sun is shining the brightest.  But what if there was no nonrenewables to fall back on?

One solution is to carefully balance all renewables so that it is always possible to fulfill demand.  As much as I like this idea, it seems unlikely that all possible demands can be readily supplied by all sources of renewables.  And even given that it was possible, you would still have large amounts of surplus energy just waiting to be used, in case demand suddenly increased or supply suddenly dropped.  So you would still need large size energy storage to store energy for a rainy day (literally in the case of solar).

Another solution is to have electric cars and all of those batteries would be in service to store excess power and release it back to the grid when needed.  That might work, but it requires to have a large number of electric cars and some sort of smart grid to figure out whether to charge the car or discharge the car to assist the grid.  And who wants their gas tank lowered (even if you were credited the cost of the energy transferred) just to power someone else's air conditioning?  Now maybe there would be energy stations that would have excess batteries, and instead of charging a car battery, they swapped batteries.  So they would keep a bank of batteries.  A large size battery would be useful for these energy stations, buying cheap electricity and using it to recharge car batteries to sell, and possible selling electricity back to the grid when demand was high (thus making a profit). [1]

What type of battery technologies are there currently being used?  Zinc-Air and high-density sodium-sulfur batteries. The sodium-sulfur batteries are already being used in Japan.  There, two units each produce 48 megawatt-hours of energy storage for daily load leveling applications, which reduce the amount of generation needed during hours of peak usage.  They have an energy density of three times that of the common lead-acid battery and is more efficient and durable.  The huge drawback with them, is they required the internal parts to be maintained at 600F, so they are limited to huge storage rather than say battery backup for a house.  Zinc-Air are smaller, but more expensive, and thus better for a replacement for backup generators. [2][3]

I don't know why battery technology doesn't get the same sexiness as other renewables.  It is not a energy generator, but it prevents the need for peak-supply power plants and overall more efficient used of the energy generated.  So, I hope in the future, batteries are included.

 

[1] Shai Agassi's bold plan for electric cars - http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/en/shai_agassi_on_electric_cars.html

[2] Zinc-Air batteries by Eos - http://www.eosenergystorage.com/technology

[3] American Electric Power’s sodium-sulfur batteries -  http://www.aep.com/newsroom/newsreleases/?id=790

What if a million people all worked together to accomplish something?

It started with a simple idea, how do you stop computers from flooding a website with an automated program?  The answer was text recognition known as a CAPTCHA.  The annoying picture of text that humans can translate into actual characters of text.  Which wasn't a bad idea, but it wasted 500,000 man-hours of human effort per day.

The next step was to invent ReCAPTCHA to use those hours into translating old books into digital format.  ReCAPTCHA requires two words (one that the computer knows and the other it does not) and by comparing answers with other humans, it can report with some confidence what the second word actually is written digitally.  ReCAPTCHA, it is estimated to be “the equivalent of 1500 people working full-time and transcribing 60 words per minute,”   It is also fairly accurate, normal OCR is about 84% accurate, when combined with ReCAPTCHA, the accuracy is 99.1%, on-par with professional translation. 100 million words are digitalized everyday using this process, the equivalent of 2 and half million books per year, one word at a time.  It is estimated that roughly 10% of Earth's population has been called to help translate a book into a digital format. In comparison, large projects like going to the moon, the panama cannel, the pyramids of Egypt, all are done on the order of 100,000 people.  Because it is difficult to coordinate beyond that in the pre-internet age.

A new process is being developed called Duolingo.  It's ambitious project is to get 100 million people to help translate the internet into different languages.  The two problems is a lack of motivation and a lack of bilingual people that have the skill to do it.  The solution was quite clever, get people who want to learn another language and while teaching them to learn another language, use their new ability to translate small pieces of the web.  It starts slowly, using simple sentences and gives you the literal translation for each word.  The amazing thing about this, is people can learn a new language by this method.  It is more interesting (uses actual, real web content) and it is as accurate as professional translators.

To give you an idea of how powerful this is, it is estimated that 500 million dollars worth of translation (translating the remaining 80% of Wikipedia that hasn't been translated into Spanish) could be done in 5 weeks (with 100,000 users).  And because it is free, the poor can learn a new language rather than spending $500 (the cost to buy language learning software) by using the effort that they would have spent learning a new language to help translate the web.

This is what the power of Amplified Intelligence has to offer us.

 

Sources:

http://www.ted.com/talks/luis_von_ahn_massive_scale_online_collaboration.htm

http://www.sitepoint.com/recaptcha-awesome-use-of-wasted-time-that-works/

http://duolingo.com/

"You've seen something as fresh and tasty as meat, but inorganically [grown]..." - Cmd Riker

In the near future, it will be possible to grow meat. The practice promises to be more humane, sustainable, and efficient than conventional meats, with one analysis suggesting it would:

  • use 35 to 60 percent less energy
  • emit 80 to 95 percent less greenhouse gas
  • use around 98 percent less land.

In a world where nearly half of all crop production is used to feed livestock, a move towards artificial meat may be inevitable.

Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/11/us-science-meat-f-idUSTRE7AA30020111111

Critical Thinking, An Essential Skill for Global Issues and the Emerging WRSC Knowledge Base - PMD Vol.01 #007

Critical Thinking, An Essential Skill for Global Issues and the Emerging WRSC Knowledge Base

Examples of the art and science can be found in many places on the Internet today.  (For example: http://austhink.com/critical/pages/teaching.html)

What caused this post was a presentation at a recent Libertopia, a convention of alternative thinkers, expecially in the political arena.

The talk by Sharon Presley, A Critical Thinking Workshop for Libertarians, brought up several different topics of interest, which I ask the reader to explore at the site that Sharon is the Executive Director for: http://www.rit.org.

So, I invite you to explore, and enjoy this challenge:  How would you bring these critical thinking skills to bear on the work of the WRSC? Every other avenue in your life?

:) :)

PMD

Brand new map of Greenland creating political problems

Producing a map can be an extremely difficult undertaking. Atlas-makers and map-makers have a tough job - the choices they make are socially, politically, and in some circumstances even scientifically charged. Greenland is losing some ice mass due to melting. The Times Atlas, however, is at the center of a discussion after publishing a map that showed a 15 percent decrease in icemass. Resource for this article: Greenland ice mass maps causing political uproar

What Greenland sees

It is very hard to calculate how much ice mass Greenland really has. The ice mass in Greenland fluctuates seasonally, and the total mass of ice as compared to total volume also fluctuates regularly. The Times Atlas, published by HarperCollins, published a change to its world atlas that showed a 15 percent decrease in total ice mass on the island nation. The atlas changed this much from the 10th to 13th editions. From edition to edition, there generally are not a lot of changes.

Press release HarperCollins has done

Between 1999 and 2011, Greenland lost about 15 percent of its ice cover, according to HarperCollins. It announced this when releasing the thirteenth edition of its World Atlas. Around the globe, the press release was reported.

Fifteen percent is a large number

The ice mass at Greenland has not been lost that quickly. It is not true that 15 percent has been lost. With a drop in that much ice mass, Greenland would increase in sea level. It would go up between three and five feet total. The actual retreat of ice between 1999 and 2011 is close to about 0.1 percent. Currently HarperCollins states it is “urgently reviewing” data for Greenland, stating:

“We use data supplied by the U.S. Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colo. Our data shows that it has reduced by 15 percent. That’s categorical.”

Defining what icemelt actually is

The job of identifying and mapping the melting of glaciers and ice sheets is tough at best. Climate change models predict icemelt at a particular rate that is located on changing water temperature, air temperature and other seasonal changes. To be able to account for what is really happening, climate change models would have to be re-drawn. This would be the suit if ice really was retreating this easily. In order to create models of climate and temperature change, icemelt is very essential.

Citations

The Takeaway: http://www.thetakeaway.org/2011/sep/26/times-atlas-erroneously-depicts-greenland-land-erosion/The Guardian: http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/sep/20/times-atlas-incorrect-greenlandNew York Times: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/25/science/earth/25atlas.html

Satellite expected to come falling back to Earth

The Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite was revolving about the globe for the last twenty years. In 2005, NASA efficiently decommissioned the satellite. Stuff on the satellite was still working, but only barely. The atmosphere of Earth will melt away most of UARS when it passes down to the earth. Several large pieces, however, are expected to hit land. Source of article: UARS satellite pieces have 1 in 3,200 chance of hitting Earth


Life of UARS
In 1991, the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite was put into orbit. the Earth’s atmosphere, including the ozone layer, was studied with the satellite. At first, UARS was meant to last about three years. UARS had 60 percent of instruments still working after 14 years, but NASA decided shutting it down was the best option. There was gold foil-like material covering most of UARS which is the size of a bus.


NASA talks re-entry
The UARS is expected to return to the Earth’s atmosphere between September 22 and 24 as a “heavily decaying orbit,” according to National Aeronautics and Space Administration. The atmosphere is expected to burn up much of the satellite. Still, there could be up to 100 separate pieces that don’t get burned up. Some of the parts will be as heavy as 300 pounds. National Aeronautics and Space Administration estimates that there's a 1 in 3,200 chance of the portions of UARS smacking land. Antarctica is the only continent that doesn’t have to worry. The chances that each piece will hit an individual are very slim. It is 1 in 20 trillion.


Two hours to get away
The UARS satellite status will be updated every two hours by NASA. Even checking every hour, National Aeronautics and Space Administration will not be able to give much notice. There will only be two hours’ notice before UARS re-entry is noted. UARS’s fall will be blamed on solar activity. The increased solar activity is also blamed for troubles with communications satellites. The UARS portions could fall easily, but it is just one of 22,000 portions of “space junk” going around the globe every single day.



Information from
MSNBC: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/44580262/ns/technology_and_science-space/#.T...
NPR: http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2011/09/19/140598814/space-junk-will-fall-to-earth-this-week
NASA.gov: (PDF) http://www.nasa.gov/pdf/585584main_UARS_Status.pdf
Slatest: http://slatest.slate.com/posts/2011/09/19/uars_climate_satellite_expecte...
LA Times: http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/nationnow/2011/09/space-junk-expert-on-why-nasa-needs-to-clean-up-space.html

Networking for Sustainablity - PMD Vol.01 #006

What an incredible chance opportunity this afternoon (hmmm, does anything really happens by "chance"?)!   I had a conversation with a remarkable man who I have never met, from thousands of miles away, who is as committed to Sustainability as I am.

WOW, what an energetic uplifting conversation. As simple as putting our information out on the internet, having a 3rd party load it onto their site, this man finds it and wants to test our customer service, and I happen to be in the office working to recover my desktop email from a failed motherboard...

We talked for two hours and discovered our mutually shared passion about sustainability. He is working from the bottom up, while GENI is working from the top down.  I think this will be a heavenly match!

Andy Howell referred me to several great ideas and businesses, including:

I look forward to developing relationships like this, and others, as other people discover GENI.org, WRSC.org and VillageProjects.org

:) :)

PMD

eLEAF dataset on vegetation, water, climate - demo for China and India 2009

Hi,

met Paul Dekker at the Esri UC and he felt our data could be of interest.

Please take a look at the demo for China or India demo.eleaf.india demo.eleaf.info/eleafchina

you can also access the data through ArcGIS online at arcgis.com
click map, search for layer, select GIS server, type demo.eleaf.info and go

we will provide a free web map service.

What is eLEAF and what data will we deliver?

eLEAF’s global, accessible information infrastructure on vegetation, water, and climate provides knowledge for a structural solution to feeding the world sustainably. eLEAF’s PiMapping® technology generates weekly updates of pixel-accurate time series of 50+ data components such as biomass production, water productivity, evapotranspiration deficit, and CO2 intake.

The Future of Cities - Charter Cities

I was skeptical that the WRSC and GENI could work together.  At times, it seems the only thing their philosophies have in common is they both present road maps towards the future.  WRSC talks about how we're going about to set new policy and integrate new technologies, GENI is all about uniting the world in one electric grid with a policy that was designed more than thirty years ago.  WRSC is all about cutting-edge technologies while GENI has an extensive paper-based archive.

Paul Romer gave a TED talk in 2009 on Charter Cities and for the first time, I can finally see some common ground between GENI and WRSC and see how a hybrid of these two different philosophies might work together mutually in harmony. 

Paul Romer's 2009 Talk (Charter Cities): http://www.ted.com/talks/paul_romer.html

Paul Romer's 2011 Talk (The First Charter City perhaps in Honduras): http://www.ted.com/talks/paul_romer_the_world_s_first_charter_city.html